Closing Soon

ECONOMICS⏱ 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ENTERTAINMENT⏱ 4d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
TECH⏱ 4d
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
TECH⏱ 5d
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
99%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 99¢No 1¢
$0 Vol
WORLD⏱ 5d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
9%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 9¢No 91¢
$0 Vol
WORLD⏱ 5d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
POLITICS
Brazil Presidential Election
50%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 50¢No 50¢
$0 Vol
POLITICS
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
50%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 50¢No 50¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
33%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 33¢No 67¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
67%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 67¢No 33¢
$0 Vol
TECH
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
9%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 9¢No 91¢
$0 Vol
POLITICS
California Governor Election Winner
50%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 50¢No 50¢
$0 Vol
WORLD
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 14¢No 86¢
$0 Vol
ENTERTAINMENT
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
21%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 21¢No 79¢
$0 Vol
TECH
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
22%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 22¢No 78¢
$0 Vol
ENTERTAINMENT
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 4¢No 96¢
$0 Vol
WORLD
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 7¢No 93¢
$0 Vol
TECH
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
WORLD
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 6¢No 94¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
97%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 97¢No 3¢
$0 Vol
TECH
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
26%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 26¢No 74¢
$0 Vol
WORLD
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
61%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 61¢No 39¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol